نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

• سیده حمیده کاظمی قهفرخی ¹
• ولی نعمتی ²
• جواد معدنی ²
• میرحمید سیدموسوی ¹

¹ دانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد گردشگری، گروه مدیریت دولتی و گردشگری دانشکده علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران.

² استادیار گروه مدیریت دولتی و گردشگری، دانشکده علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران.

چکیده

صنعت گردشگری با تکیه بر منابع طبیعی، از عوامل اصلی آلودگی محیطی و انتشار کربن است که توجه به اثرات آن بر محیط‌زیست ضروری است. این پژوهش با هدف تدوین سناریوهای استفاده از فناوری‌های سبز در گردشگری کم‌کربن، از روش آمیخته استفاده کرده است. در مرحله نخست با روش کیفی (گروه کانونی)، 23 شاخص کلیدی شناسایی و 18 مؤلفه تأثیرگذار تعیین شدند. سپس با رویکرد کمی سناریونگاری، هزینه و دسترسی به انرژی‌های سبز به‌عنوان مهم‌ترین عدم قطعیت‌ها شناسایی شدند و براساس تحلیل‌ها، چهار سناریوی آینده شامل آینده کم‌کربن (سبز)، آینده نافرجام، آینده پرهزینه و آینده محدود تدوین شدند. سناریوی مطلوب می‌تواند به توسعه مقاصد پایدار، کاهش هزینه‌ها و جذب سرمایه‌گذاری منجر شود، در حالی که سناریوی نامطلوب خطرات زیست‌محیطی و کاهش انگیزه سفر را به دنبال دارد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

• گردشگری کم‌کربن
• فناوری سبز
• ردپای کربن
• گازهای گلخانه‌ای
• انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر

موضوعات

• آینده نگاری و سناریو نویسی در گردشگری

عنوان مقاله [English]

Developing Scenarios for the Application of Green Technologies in Low-Carbon Tourism

نویسندگان [English]

• Seyedeh Hamideh Kazemi Ghahfarokhi ¹
• Vali Nemati ²
• Javad Madani ²
• Mir Hamid Seyed Mousavi ¹

¹ Master of Tourism, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran.

² Assistant Professor of Department of Public Administration and Tourism, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran.

چکیده [English]

The tourism industry, relying heavily on natural resources, is a major contributor to environmental pollution and carbon emissions, making it essential to address its environmental impacts. This study aims to develop scenarios for the use of green technologies in low-carbon tourism through a mixed-method approach. In the first phase, using a qualitative method (focus groups), 23 key indicators were identified, and 18 influencing factors were determined. Subsequently, with a quantitative scenario-building approach, cost and access to green energy were identified as the most significant uncertainties. Based on the analysis, four future scenarios were developed: Low-Carbon (Green) Future, Unsuccessful Future, Costly Future, and Restricted Future. The desirable scenario could lead to sustainable destination development, cost reduction, and increased investment, whereas the undesirable scenario poses environmental risks and reduces travel motivation.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

• Low-Carbon Tourism
• Green Technology
• Carbon Footprint
• Greenhouse Gases
• Renewable Energy

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