Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
1 Postdoctoral researcher, Department of Environmental Science, Natural Resources Faculty, University of Tehran, ‎Karaj, Iran
2 Professor, Department of Environmental Science, Natural Resources Faculty, University of Tehran, Karaj, ‎Iran
Abstract
In the present study, using Terjong climate index, the optimal time of day and night tourism was determined (from 1996 to 2021) in the mangrove forests of the Hara protected area. Then using ACCESS-CM2 and CNRM-CM6-1 models to predict the suitable times for the development of nature tourism under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Terjong index showed that the best time for nature tourism in this region is during the day in the months of January, February and March and during the night in the months of April and November. It is observed that the maximum temperature trend has accelerated since the second half of the 2050s and its average has increased under the SSP5-8.5 scenario in the period of 2090-2099. Although the rainfall trend is fluctuating, it shows a decreasing trend in a significant part of the year. I
Keywords
- Development of nature tourism
- Terjong index
- Climate forecasting models
- Mangrove forests
- Hara protected area
Main Subjects
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