Mohammad reza Amiri fahlyiani
Abstract
Tourists became carriers of Covid 19 disease and, eventually, became victims of the disease on their own. In this study, we aim to identify the key factors of behavioral geography affecting the tourism situation of Shiraz metropolis when facing infectious diseases and Covid-19 and scenario-building with ...
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Tourists became carriers of Covid 19 disease and, eventually, became victims of the disease on their own. In this study, we aim to identify the key factors of behavioral geography affecting the tourism situation of Shiraz metropolis when facing infectious diseases and Covid-19 and scenario-building with a future-studies approach. The present study, in terms of purpose is applied research which has been conducted in terms of survey method at the exploratory level and based on the future-studies approach. The propulsive forces are determined by the Delphi method, and then these factors are determined based on the degree of importance level and uncertainty, prioritization ,and the most critical factors, and the software-Mic Mac- is used to write possible scenarios. In the scripting stage, 34 general variables were identified and defined in this software. Findings indicate that among these variables, behavioral behavior, immigration, inflation and social capital are the most influential key factors of behavioral geography influencing the tourism industry of Shiraz metropolis dealing with infectious diseases.
Esmaeil Aliakbari; Nafese Marsousi; Leila Jalalabadi
Abstract
This article has identified and compiled the future scenarios of tourism in Kerman in the perspective of 1410 with a future studies approach. The data has been developed with documentary and survey methods and in processing those from the Delphi method, structural analysis and Startup Wizard have been ...
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This article has identified and compiled the future scenarios of tourism in Kerman in the perspective of 1410 with a future studies approach. The data has been developed with documentary and survey methods and in processing those from the Delphi method, structural analysis and Startup Wizard have been used. The statistical population includes fifteen scientific and executive elites of Kerman who, after the initial discussion sessions, weighing and identified 15 contingent status of the propellant factor in formulating scenarios. The results show that 80 percent of Kerman tourism situations in the future are favorable and 20 percent are stable and critical. Kerman city is facing three groups of tourism development scenarios in the future. The most desirable scenario is the first group, which is based on the foundation of competitiveness, axial plan and symmetrical development
